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 | | August 20, 2008
Vol. 43, No. 17b
Washington, DC | |
To: Our Readers PUBLISHER'S NOTE: For the next two weeks as we cover the conventions-the Democrats in Denver and the Republicans in St. Paul-we will have a different publishing schedule, sending you ENPR twice a week: on Mondays and Fridays. On Monday, August 25, you'll get our preview of the Democratic convention, including an analysis of Obama's running mate and a new Electoral College breakdown. On Friday, Aug. 29, we'll send you a recap of the Dem. Convention. From St. Paul, it will be the same thing: a GOP preview on Monday, September 1, and a recap on Friday, 9/5. After that, we'll return to normal.
Outlook - The Democratic National Convention and buzz over Sen. Barack Obama's running mate comes at the perfect time to halt Sen. John McCain's momentum.
- The broad pessimism about GOP chances has, in recent weeks, found justifiable solace in Obama's inability to pull away. Recent Obama missteps on discussing his record (see below) together with his sub-par performance in the "Civic Forum" over the weekend (see below) have compounded Democrats' worry.
- A Zogby poll showing McCain ahead by five points should not be taken to indicate he is the front-runner, but it certainly helps puncture the notion that Obama is way ahead.
| ALERT: A GOP Betrayal on "Drill Here, Drill Now" Energy Policy? Under the guise of a "compromise" energy bill, a "Gang of 10" Senators - including five Republicans - are working to undercut the American people's demands for more domestic energy production. Here's what Rush Limbaugh said about some of the details of this so-called compromise bill: "The regulatory hurdles are huge... PETA has a role. The ACLU has a role. The bill bars drilling within 50 miles of the United States coastline. That puts off limits some of the most productive areas ... including in ANWR. ...This deal would allow drilling if... the EPA and PETA and states and cities and counties and the ACLU clear the way." This is not "compromise" - it's SURRENDER on the issue! TAKE ACTION NOW! | - Obama and McCain enter the conventions in a legitimate dead-heat, with most national polls showing a statistical tie, and the Electoral College count coming down to a few razor-close states such as New Mexico and Nevada.
- McCain is walking on thin ice by flirting with a pro-choice running mate. Even in this economy-dominated election with Iraq as Obama's top theme, abortion will matter.
- Falling oil prices, leveling gas prices, and war in the Caucasus have shifted some voter concern from the economy to foreign policy. This is a boon for McCain. There is no reason to believe, however, that the economy is actually improving, which means economic worries could once again dominate.
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PUBLISHER'S NOTE: Due to his recently diagnosed brain tumor, Bob Novak has retired from his column and also from his role as editor of the Evans-Novak Political Report. Novak has edited ENPR since he and Rowland Evans launched it in 1967. Per the succession plan we worked out last summer with Bob, Eagle Publishing will continue to publish ENPR under the leadership of Senior Reporter Timothy P. Carney, a protégé of Bob's who has worked by his side for years. In his 2007 memoirs, The Prince of Darkness, Novak described Carney as "maybe my best political reporter since I began hiring them in 1982." Carney is also a contributing editor at Human Events and a weekly columnist for the Washington Examiner.
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