 |  | May 21, 2008 Vol. 43, No. 11a Washington, DC | |   ** WELCOME! ** HUMAN EVENTS is pleased to deliver Robert Novak's Evans-Novak Political Report to you on Wednesdays. For almost 40 years, Washington insiders have paid hundreds of dollars a year for the privilege of subscribing to his privately circulated newsletter. Now, here's your chance to get the inside scoop. Plus, as a new Evans-Novak Political Report subscriber, you can get a FREE copy of The Prince of Darkness: 50 Years of Reporting in Washington.  To: Our Readers Outlook - Sen. Hillary Clinton's landslide primary victory Tuesday over Sen. Barack Obama in Kentucky is cause for at least a little Republican cheer in a bleak political landscape, despite Obama's healthy win in Oregon. There is substantial voter rejection of Obama, with half of Kentucky's Democrats (as reflected in exit polls) saying they cannot vote for Obama in November.
- Obama's quasi-victory speech from Iowa Tuesday night was intended to accelerate the impression he has been trying to make for the last month: that the fight for the nomination is really over, and it is time for Democrats to turn their attention to defeating Sen. John McCain.
- With Republican prospects getting worse all of the time, how is it that polls show a competitive McCain-vs.-Obama race? It is far more Obama's weakness rather than McCain's strength. There are many sober Democratic strategists who see the anti-Republican tide sweeping in Obama with a landslide.
- The Obama campaign has already begun to identify McCain as the third coming (that is, the third term) of George W. Bush. When President Bush inserted himself in the campaign-however intentionally or unintentionally-in his Israeli Knesset speech last week, Obama seized on it to buttress his main theme that McCain, improbably, is a Bush clone.
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- The other element in Obama's strategy is to rule out-of-bounds any efforts to pierce the flattering image Obama has painted of himself and the media for the most part has amplified. Obama, by attacking such "swift-boat tactics," hopes to shame the good-government side of McCain into running a vanilla campaign. While he mercilessly pummels McCain as "John McBush," Obama strategists want McCain to stick to the Iraq war, economic decline and health care.
- McCain, however, is not prepared to disarm himself unilaterally. Tim Griffin, the crack opposition research operative, is about to move into the Republican National Committee to turn his fire against Obama. McCain strategists see their only hope is to focus on the real Barack Obama.
- While the McCain campaign feels it has secured the party's conservative base, we feel that is not the case. There remains substantial resentment from a wide variety of elements. The McCain problem here is that he does not recognize he has this problem.
- The love affair between John McCain and the news media is over. The time when McCain described the press as his base is finished. The journalists feel the bad McCain of 2008 is not the good McCain of 2000, and McCain's advisers feel the journalists are in the bag for Obama.
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 | Editorial Offices: 1750 Pennsylvania Ave., N.W., Suite 1203 Washington, D.C. 20006 | Business Offices: One Massachusetts Ave., N.W., Suite 600 Washington, D.C. 20001 | Editor: Robert D. Novak Senior Political Reporter: Timothy P. Carney Reporter: Jim Seminara | Chairman: Thomas L. Phillips President: Jeffrey J. Carneal | Evans-Novak Political Report is published by Eagle Publishing, Inc. | |
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